Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000150 0.000166 0.000183 0.000202 0.000224 0.000248 0.000276
2025-06-01 0.000117 0.000140 0.000166 0.000198 0.000238 0.000285 0.000346
2025-06-08 0.000097 0.000121 0.000151 0.000191 0.000243 0.000310 0.000402
2025-06-15 0.000086 0.000112 0.000146 0.000193 0.000259 0.000347 0.000478
2025-06-22 0.000078 0.000106 0.000143 0.000197 0.000275 0.000387 0.000561
2025-06-29 0.000070 0.000097 0.000135 0.000193 0.000280 0.000409 0.000621
2025-07-06 0.000062 0.000088 0.000125 0.000184 0.000277 0.000419 0.000662
2025-07-13 0.000057 0.000083 0.000122 0.000185 0.000287 0.000449 0.000740
2025-07-20 0.000054 0.000080 0.000121 0.000188 0.000300 0.000486 0.000833
2025-07-27 0.000050 0.000076 0.000117 0.000186 0.000306 0.000512 0.000910
2025-08-03 0.000047 0.000074 0.000116 0.000189 0.000320 0.000551 0.001017
2025-08-10 0.000044 0.000070 0.000112 0.000186 0.000323 0.000573 0.001093
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000066 0.000108 0.000184 0.000328 0.000599 0.001186
2025-08-24 0.000038 0.000062 0.000104 0.000182 0.000332 0.000625 0.001285
2025-08-31 0.000035 0.000058 0.000098 0.000176 0.000329 0.000636 0.001352
2025-09-07 0.000033 0.000056 0.000097 0.000178 0.000342 0.000682 0.001507
2025-09-14 0.000032 0.000055 0.000097 0.000181 0.000358 0.000736 0.001692
2025-09-21 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000177 0.000358 0.000757 0.001797
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000048 0.000088 0.000170 0.000349 0.000755 0.001847
2025-10-05 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000170 0.000359 0.000797 0.002019
2025-10-12 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000173 0.000373 0.000851 0.002236
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000172 0.000378 0.000884 0.002401
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000174 0.000392 0.000944 0.002656